Language:English
Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Head to Head
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.608%
Kelly +0.946%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%36.37%36.27%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.632.8041.67%38.54%38.02%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)
Prediction 63.68%1.57fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.63%63.73%65.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.491.5370.42%67.24%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 36.32%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit): 63.68%. For Martin Damm Jr. (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.80, producing a positive expected value of +1.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +1.70%E +0.608%K +0.946%G +0.016% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.93%E -0.714%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.93%E -0.714%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.93%E -0.714%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.66%E -0.991%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.66%E -0.991%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.74%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.74%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.74%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.74%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.83%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.83%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| GTbets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.65%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.03%E -4.82%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 12:52 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.94%E -6.25%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.74%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.83%E -5.34%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.58%E -6.75%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 14:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 14:05 |
| Novig | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |