StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Martin Damm Jr. (Heim)

Prognose 36.32%2.75faire Quote
EV +1.69%
Vorteil +0.603%
Kelly +0.937%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.43%36.32%36.27%38.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.592.622.8041.67%38.57%38.17%35.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.68%1.57faire Quote
EV -2.56%
Vorteil -1.68%
Kelly -4.84%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.71%63.68%63.73%65.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.421.491.491.5370.42%67.22%67.11%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Martin Damm Jr. (Heim): 36.32%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts): 63.68%. Für Martin Damm Jr. (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.75. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.80 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.69%.

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +1.69%E +0.603%K +0.937%G +0.016%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:10
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 13:55
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:54
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:54
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:10
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.67%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:52
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.93%E -6.25%K -20.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:14
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.76%E -3.05%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%5.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%7.4%2026-08-02 15:30