Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.77
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Martin Damm Jr. (Casa): 35.96%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta): 64.04%. Per Martin Damm Jr. (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.78. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.77, con un valore atteso del -0.385%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.385%E -0.139%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -0.745%E -0.270%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.10%E -0.402%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.34%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.38%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.58%E -2.95%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.89%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 15:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 21:04 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |