Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Previsão 36.32%2.75odd justa
EV +1.69%
Vantagem +0.603%
Kelly +0.937%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.43%36.32%36.27%38.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.622.8041.67%38.57%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 63.68%1.57odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -4.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.71%63.68%63.73%65.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.491.491.5370.42%67.22%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 36.32%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 63.68%. Para Martin Damm Jr. (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.75. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.80, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +1.69%E +0.603%K +0.937%G +0.016%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:10
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 13:55
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:54
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:54
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:10
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.67%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:52
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.93%E -6.25%K -20.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:14
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.76%E -3.05%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%5.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%7.4%2026-08-02 15:30