Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-08-04 15:05 UTC

Final: Martin Damm Jr. 0–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Previsão 35.96%2.78odd justa
EV -0.385%
Vantagem -0.139%
Kelly -0.218%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.15%35.93%38.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.632.7741.67%38.26%38.02%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 64.04%1.56odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%63.85%64.07%65.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.50%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 35.96%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 64.04%. Para Martin Damm Jr. (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.78. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.77, com valor esperado de -0.385%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.385%E -0.139%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:54
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -0.745%E -0.270%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 14:50
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.10%E -0.402%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 13:14
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.34%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:54
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 15:00
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.38%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 11:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 12:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:59
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:00
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:54
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:54
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.58%E -2.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 15:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 10:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:59
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.89%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 15:03
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 21:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 15:00
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-08-04 15:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-04 15:00
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-08-04 14:55
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%3.5%2026-08-04 15:00