Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 15:05 UTC

Score final : Martin Damm Jr. 0–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Prévision 35.96%2.78cote équitable
EV -0.385%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.218%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.15%35.93%38.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.632.7741.67%38.26%38.02%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.04%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%63.85%64.07%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.50%67.57%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Damm Jr. (Local) : 35.96% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 64.04%. Pour Martin Damm Jr. (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.77, pour une espérance de -0.385% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.385%E -0.139%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:54
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -0.745%E -0.270%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 14:50
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.10%E -0.402%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 13:14
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.34%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:54
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 15:00
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.38%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 13:59
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 11:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 12:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:59
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:00
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:54
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:54
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.58%E -2.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 15:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 10:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:59
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.89%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 15:03
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 21:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 15:00
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-08-04 15:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-04 15:00
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-08-04 14:55
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%3.5%2026-08-04 15:00