Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Prévision 36.32%2.75cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.603%
Kelly +0.937%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.43%36.32%36.27%38.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.622.8041.67%38.57%38.17%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.68%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -4.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.71%63.68%63.73%65.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.491.5370.42%67.22%67.11%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Martin Damm Jr. (Local) : 36.32% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 63.68%. Pour Martin Damm Jr. (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.75. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.80, pour une espérance positive de +1.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +1.69%E +0.603%K +0.937%G +0.016%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:10
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 13:55
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:54
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:54
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:10
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.67%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:52
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.93%E -6.25%K -20.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:14
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.76%E -3.05%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%5.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%7.4%2026-08-02 15:30