Idioma:Español
Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Predicción 35.96%2.78momio equitativo
EV -0.385%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.218%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.15%35.93%38.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.632.7741.67%38.26%38.02%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)
Predicción 64.04%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%63.85%64.07%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.50%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 35.96%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 64.04%. Para Martin Damm Jr. (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.77, con un valor esperado de -0.385%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.385%E -0.139%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -0.745%E -0.270%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.10%E -0.402%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.34%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.38%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.50%E -4.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.58%E -2.95%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.89%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 15:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 21:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |