Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Predicción 36.32%2.75momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.603%
Kelly +0.937%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.43%36.32%36.27%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.622.8041.67%38.57%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Predicción 63.68%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%63.68%63.73%65.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.491.5370.42%67.22%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 36.32%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 63.68%. Para Martin Damm Jr. (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.75. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.69%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +1.69%E +0.603%K +0.937%G +0.016%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.598%E +0.216%K +0.338%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:10
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.94%E -0.720%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 13:55
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.67%E -0.997%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:54
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:54
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.58%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:10
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.67%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:52
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.93%E -6.25%K -20.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:14
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.76%E -3.05%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.39%E -4.34%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%5.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%7.4%2026-08-02 15:30