Language:English
Learner Tien v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.32%38.69%38.62%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.02%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 61.27%1.63fair odd
EV -0.736%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%61.31%61.38%63.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.551.6268.03%64.43%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 38.73%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 61.27%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.85%E +0.703%K +1.13%G +0.021% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.558%K +0.903%G +0.013% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 07:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.93%E -6.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.736%E -0.455%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 01:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 01:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 01:06 |