The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Learner Tien v Tommy Paul

2026-08-07 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Learner Tien (Local)

Prediction 40.03%2.50fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.811%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.05%40.05%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.332.352.5545.87%42.96%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visit)

Prediction 59.97%1.67fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%59.95%59.95%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.581.6566.67%62.94%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Learner Tien (Local): 40.03%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 59.97%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.07%E +0.811%K +1.33%G +0.028%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.07%E +0.811%K +1.33%G +0.028%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.07%E +0.811%K +1.33%G +0.028%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 07:15
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.07%E +0.811%K +1.33%G +0.028%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 07:15
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV +0.868%E +0.344%K +0.571%G +0.005%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -0.333%E -0.134%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -8.24%E -5.39%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 10:44
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.93%E -0.789%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 12:55
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.93%E -0.789%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 12:31
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.93%E -0.789%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.44%E -4.13%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 12:54
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.64%E -2.92%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.64%E -4.96%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 10:44
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.24%E -5.39%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 10:14
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.84%E -5.82%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 11:55
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.34%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 12:54
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 12:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 12:54
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.74%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.24%E -5.39%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 12:34
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.14%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.64%E -2.92%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.14%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.64%E -2.92%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 12:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.14%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.24%E -5.39%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.14%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.24%E -5.39%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 12:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 12:54
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.84%E -5.82%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.34%E -2.71%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 12:55
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.90%EV -6.34%E -2.71%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -10.64%E -7.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-06 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.31%EV -7.54%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.69%EV -6.44%E -4.13%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 12:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 12:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.94%E -4.42%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 12:54
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.94%E -4.42%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.94%E -4.42%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -4.96%K -14.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:54
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.74%E -4.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.633%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.94%E -5.43%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -9.44%E -6.25%K -18.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-06 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -12.74%E -5.84%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%2.8%2026-08-06 12:55
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 37.19%1.35I 74.07%NM 62.81%17.9%2026-08-06 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 50.15%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.85%19.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 50.15%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.85%19.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 50.15%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.85%19.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Arbitrage (14 combinations) +0.18%betPARX 2.55 (39.3%) / LiveScore Bet 1.65 (60.7%)Show all 14 combinations
Learner Tien (Local)Tommy Paul (Visit)Margin
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Casumo🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Bally Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)BetRivers🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Casumo🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Bally Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)BetRivers🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
TABtouch🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Casumo🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Bally Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)BetRivers🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Casumo🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Bally Bet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)BetRivers🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.3%)Unibet🎯 1.65 (60.7%)+0.179%
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