Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Learner Tien v Tommy Paul

Początek: 2026-08-08 01:26 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Learner Tien 2–0 Tommy Paul

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Learner Tien (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 38.73%2.58kurs godziwy
EV +1.85%
Przewaga +0.703%
Kelly +1.13%
Wzrost +0.021%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.32%38.69%38.62%41.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.02%40.82%38.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tommy Paul (Goście)

Prognoza 61.27%1.63kurs godziwy
EV -0.736%
Przewaga -0.455%
Kelly -1.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.67%61.31%61.38%63.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.551.551.6268.03%64.43%64.52%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Learner Tien (Gospodarze): 38.73%; Tommy Paul (Goście): 61.27%. Dla wyniku Learner Tien (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.58. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.63, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.85%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.85%E +0.703%K +1.13%G +0.021%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.558%K +0.903%G +0.013%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 00:50
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 07:16
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 01:05
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.93%E -6.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 17:35
Betsson🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:36
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:35
ReBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 21:50
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:36
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 20:25
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 16:35
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:56
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:38
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.736%E -0.455%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 17:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:36
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:36
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 01:01
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 01:01
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-08 01:00
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-08-08 01:06