Idioma:Español
Learner Tien v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Learner Tien (Local)
Predicción 38.73%2.58momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.703%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.32%38.69%38.62%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.02%40.82%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 61.27%1.63momio equitativo
EV -0.736%
Ventaja -0.455%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.31%61.38%63.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.551.6268.03%64.43%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Learner Tien (Local): 38.73%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 61.27%. Para Learner Tien (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.58. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.63, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.85%E +0.703%K +1.13%G +0.021% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.558%K +0.903%G +0.013% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 07:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.93%E -6.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.736%E -0.455%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 01:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 01:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 01:06 |