Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Tommy Paul

Início: 2026-08-08 01:26 UTC

Final: Learner Tien 2–0 Tommy Paul

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 38.73%2.58odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.703%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.32%38.69%38.62%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.02%40.82%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 61.27%1.63odd justa
EV -0.736%
Vantagem -0.455%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%61.31%61.38%63.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.551.6268.03%64.43%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Learner Tien (Local): 38.73%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 61.27%. Para Learner Tien (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.58. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.63, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.85%E +0.703%K +1.13%G +0.021%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.558%K +0.903%G +0.013%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 00:50
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 07:16
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 01:05
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.93%E -6.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 17:35
Betsson🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:36
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:35
ReBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 21:50
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:36
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 20:25
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 16:35
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:56
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:38
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.736%E -0.455%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 17:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:36
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 01:01
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 01:01
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-08 01:00
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-08-08 01:06