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Learner Tien v Tommy Paul
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Learner Tien (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.73%2.58справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.85%
Преимущество +0.703%
Kelly +1.13%
Рост +0.021%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.63
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.32%38.69%38.62%41.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.02%40.82%38.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tommy Paul (Гости)
Прогноз 61.27%1.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.736%
Преимущество -0.455%
Kelly -1.19%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.67%61.31%61.38%63.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.471.551.551.6268.03%64.43%64.52%61.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Learner Tien (Хозяева): 38.73%; Tommy Paul (Гости): 61.27%. Для исхода «Learner Tien (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.58. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.63, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.85%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.85%E +0.703%K +1.13%G +0.021% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.558%K +0.903%G +0.013% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 07:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.93%E -6.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.736%E -0.455%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:36 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 01:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 01:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 01:06 |