Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien v Tommy Paul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 01:26 UTC

Score final : Learner Tien 2–0 Tommy Paul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien (Local)

Prévision 38.73%2.58cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.703%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.32%38.69%38.62%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.02%40.82%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.27%1.63cote équitable
EV -0.736%
Avantage -0.455%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%61.31%61.38%63.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.551.6268.03%64.43%64.52%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Learner Tien (Local) : 38.73% ; Tommy Paul (Visiteur) : 61.27%. Pour Learner Tien (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.58. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.63, soit une espérance positive de +1.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.85%E +0.703%K +1.13%G +0.021%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.558%K +0.903%G +0.013%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.688%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.25%E -0.490%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 00:50
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 07:16
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.41%E -0.956%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 01:05
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.93%E -6.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 17:35
Betsson🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:36
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:35
ReBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 21:50
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:16
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.28%E -2.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.86%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:36
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 20:25
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 16:35
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:56
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:38
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.736%E -0.455%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 17:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:36
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 01:01
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 01:01
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-08 01:00
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-08-08 01:06