Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien v Tommy Paul

2026-08-07 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien (Local)

Prévision 40.90%2.44cote équitable
EV +0.207%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.143%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.83%40.92%42.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.58%43.48%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.10%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.37%59.17%59.08%61.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.37%62.11%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Learner Tien (Local) : 40.90% ; Tommy Paul (Visiteur) : 59.10%. Pour Learner Tien (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.45, pour une espérance positive de +0.207%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.207%E +0.085%K +0.143%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 10:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.84%E -0.766%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 13:05
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.84%E -0.766%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 13:00
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.84%E -0.766%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 13:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.84%E -0.766%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.99%E -5.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 10:44
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.25%E -0.940%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 12:59
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 13:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 10:45
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.47%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 13:04
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:45
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 13:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 12:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 13:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 12:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 13:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 12:59
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:58
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:54
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 12:59
ReBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -10.43%E -4.76%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.56%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-06 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%2.8%2026-08-06 12:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%12.1%2026-08-06 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 48.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.06%20.9%2026-08-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.24%1.62I 61.73%NM 50.76%21.6%2026-08-06 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.24%1.62I 61.73%NM 50.76%21.6%2026-08-06 13:25