Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ignacio Buse v Cameron Norrie

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ignacio Buse (Local)

Prediction 35.16%2.84fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -0.863%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.26%35.15%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.652.622.8039.22%37.68%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Visit)

Prediction 64.84%1.54fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.17%64.74%64.85%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5171.43%67.86%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ignacio Buse (Local): 35.16%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 64.84%. For Ignacio Buse (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.80, with an expected value of -1.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.55%E -0.555%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.55%E -0.555%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -3.39%E -2.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 17:50
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:15
SportsBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 20:44
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:34
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:44
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:15
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 22:20
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.39%E -2.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:55
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:58
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:45
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.22%E -6.59%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 10:40
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.12%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:20
GTbets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -6.48%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 10:34
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:14
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 17:45
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 12:09
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 10:34
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.28%E -5.09%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 10:35
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:44
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:45
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 08:49
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 09:15
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 09:14
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 17:14
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:44
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:45
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:35
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:15
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 15:05
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:13
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:15
DraftKings2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -8.94%E -3.45%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 07:03
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-08-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-08-04 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-08-04 21:45
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%4.3%2026-08-04 22:55