Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ignacio Buse v Cameron Norrie

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

35%

65%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ignacio Buse (Local)

Prévision 35.16%2.84cote équitable

EV -0.851%

Avantage -0.302%

Kelly -0.468%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

34.15%35.25%35.15%36.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

2.552.652.622.8239.22%37.67%38.17%35.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.84%1.54cote équitable

EV -2.09%

Avantage -1.38%

Kelly -4.10%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

63.17%64.75%64.85%65.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.401.471.471.5171.43%67.88%68.03%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ignacio Buse (Local) : 35.16% ; Cameron Norrie (Visiteur) : 64.84%. Pour Ignacio Buse (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.84. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.82, pour une espérance de -0.851% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local ▼	Visiteur	Marge	Mise à jour
BetOnline.ag	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -0.851%E -0.302%K -0.468%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-04 23:20
LowVig.ag	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -0.851%E -0.302%K -0.468%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-04 23:20
Pinnacle	2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -3.39%E -2.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-04 17:50
FanDuel	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-04 22:15
SportsBet	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-04 22:15
Coolbet	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 10:19
Winamax (DE)	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-04 20:44
Winamax (FR)	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 20:45
Betway	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:34
Fanatics	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 18:44
Sky Bet	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 22:15
BoyleSports	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-04 22:20
1xBet	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.39%E -2.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-04 22:20
Bovada	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-04 17:44
Betsson	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 19:55
NordicBet	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 19:55
Betclic (FR)	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-04 16:58
Dabble (AU)	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (UK)	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-04 22:35
PlayUp	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-04 23:10
BetMGM	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-04 18:45
Paddy Power	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.22%E -6.59%K -23.06%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-04 10:40
Marathon Bet	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.12%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-04 22:20
GTbets	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -6.48%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-04 10:34
Betr (AU)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 22:14
NetBet (FR)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 17:45
Caesars	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 12:09
PointsBet (AU)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 10:34
theScore Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.28%E -5.09%K -16.92%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-04 10:35
betfred_uk	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 18:44
Coral	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 18:45
Unibet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
TABtouch	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
Grosvenor	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
Casumo	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
BetRivers	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
Virgin Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
Bally Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
Hard Rock Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:29
888sport	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 08:49
888sport (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 09:15
Mr Green (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 09:14
William Hill	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-04 18:44
Neds	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-04 18:45
TAB	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 23:04
Unibet (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 22:35
LeoVegas	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 22:15
ReBet	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 15:05
betano_uk	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 22:13
Bet Victor	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 22:15
DraftKings	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -8.94%E -3.45%K -5.62%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 07:03
PMU (FR)	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 10:30

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%	1.5%	2026-08-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%	1.5%	2026-08-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%	1.5%	2026-08-05 00:00
Matchbook	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%	1.5%	2026-08-05 00:00
Smarkets	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%	2.4%	2026-08-05 00:00
Novig	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%	3.6%	2026-08-05 00:05