Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ignacio Buse v Cameron Norrie

Inizio: 2026-08-05 17:23 UTC

Finale: Ignacio Buse 0–2 Cameron Norrie

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ignacio Buse (Casa)

Previsione 31.71%3.15quota equa
EV -0.100%
Vantaggio -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.49%31.72%31.82%33.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.952.953.1535.71%33.85%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.29%1.46quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -2.14%
Kelly -7.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.35%68.28%68.18%69.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.391.401.4274.07%71.75%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ignacio Buse (Casa): 31.71%; Cameron Norrie (Trasferta): 68.29%. Per Ignacio Buse (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.153. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.150, con un valore atteso del -0.100%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.100%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 16:45
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 17:00
SportsBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:49
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:49
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:55
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.22%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:44
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:48
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:48
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:50
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:45
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:45
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:49
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 16:30
GTbets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-08-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-08-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-08-05 16:55
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-05 17:00
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%0.9%2026-08-05 16:55
ProphetX◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-08-05 16:55
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-08-05 17:00