Idioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Cameron Norrie
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 35.16%2.84momio equitativo
EV -0.851%
Ventaja -0.302%
Kelly -0.468%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%35.25%35.15%36.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.652.622.8239.22%37.67%38.17%35.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cameron Norrie (Visitante)
Predicción 64.84%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%64.75%64.85%65.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.471.5171.43%67.88%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Ignacio Buse (Local): 35.16%; Cameron Norrie (Visitante): 64.84%. Para Ignacio Buse (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.82, con un valor esperado de -0.851%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -0.851%E -0.302%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -0.851%E -0.302%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -3.39%E -2.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.39%E -2.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.22%E -6.59%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.12%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| GTbets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -6.48%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.28%E -5.09%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 10:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:44 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 09:14 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.74%E -1.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 18:44 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| ReBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:05 |
| betano_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.63%E -4.60%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -8.94%E -3.45%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 07:03 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.68%E -3.19%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Novig | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |