Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ignacio Buse v Cameron Norrie

Início: 2026-08-05 17:23 UTC

Final: Ignacio Buse 0–2 Cameron Norrie

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ignacio Buse (Local)

Previsão 31.71%3.15odd justa
EV -0.100%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%31.72%31.82%33.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.952.953.1535.71%33.85%33.90%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cameron Norrie (Visitante)

Previsão 68.29%1.46odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -7.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.35%68.28%68.18%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.391.401.4274.07%71.75%71.43%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ignacio Buse (Local): 31.71%; Cameron Norrie (Visitante): 68.29%. Para Ignacio Buse (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.153. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.150, com valor esperado de -0.100%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.100%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 16:45
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 17:00
SportsBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:49
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:49
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:55
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.22%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:44
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:48
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:45
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 15:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:48
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:50
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:45
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:45
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:49
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 16:30
GTbets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-08-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-08-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-08-05 16:55
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-05 17:00
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%0.9%2026-08-05 16:55
ProphetX◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-08-05 16:55
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-08-05 17:00