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Ignacio Buse v Cameron Norrie
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ignacio Buse (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.71%3.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.100%
Преимущество -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.49%31.72%31.82%33.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.952.953.1535.71%33.85%33.90%31.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cameron Norrie (Гости)
Прогноз 68.29%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.03%
Преимущество -2.14%
Kelly -7.22%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.35%68.28%68.18%69.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.391.401.4274.07%71.75%71.43%70.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ignacio Buse (Хозяева): 31.71%; Cameron Norrie (Гости): 68.29%. Для исхода «Ignacio Buse (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.153. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.150, математическое ожидание — -0.100%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.100%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 15:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.22%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.81%E -5.79%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.13%E -5.24%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.03%E -2.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.40%E -3.14%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |