StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi

2026-08-05 19:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fabian Marozsan (Hemma)

Prognos 57.67%1.73rättvist odds
EV -1.39%
Fördel -0.811%
Kelly -1.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.60%57.62%57.69%59.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.651.661.7164.10%60.56%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Matteo Arnaldi (Borta)

Prognos 42.33%2.36rättvist odds
EV -0.944%
Fördel -0.403%
Kelly -0.705%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.34

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.76%42.38%42.31%43.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.222.202.3447.62%44.97%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Fabian Marozsan (Hemma): 57.67%; Matteo Arnaldi (Borta): 42.33%. För Matteo Arnaldi (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.36. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.34, med väntevärdet -0.944%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 07:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 07:45
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.33%E -1.92%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 07:49
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 07:56
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:50
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 08:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:44
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:44
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 07:45
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 08:09
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 07:45
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.48%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 07:44
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 07:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:45
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 07:45
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:45
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:45
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:45
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 07:44
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 07:45
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.18%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:45
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 07:50
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 07:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 07:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 07:45
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 07:44
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 07:44
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 06:25
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 07:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 07:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 06:49
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-05 07:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 07:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-05 08:05
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-08-05 08:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%4.5%2026-08-05 08:05