Idioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 57.67%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.811%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.60%57.62%57.69%59.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.661.7164.10%60.56%60.24%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)
Predicción 42.33%2.36momio equitativo
EV -0.944%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.705%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.76%42.38%42.31%43.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.3447.62%44.97%45.45%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Fabian Marozsan (Local): 57.67%; Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante): 42.33%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.36. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.34, con un valor esperado de -0.944%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.33%E -1.92%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 07:56 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 08:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.48%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.18%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 07:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 06:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 06:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |