Langue:Français
Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi
Résultat du match
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prévision 57.67%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.811%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.60%57.62%57.69%59.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.661.7164.10%60.56%60.24%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.33%2.36cote équitable
EV -0.944%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.705%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.76%42.38%42.31%43.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.202.3447.62%44.97%45.45%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Fabian Marozsan (Local) : 57.67% ; Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur) : 42.33%. Pour Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.36. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.34, pour une espérance de -0.944% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.33%E -1.92%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 07:56 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 08:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.48%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.18%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 07:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 06:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 06:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |