Lingua:Italiano
Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi
Testa a testa
Fabian Marozsan (Casa)
Previsione 57.67%1.73quota equa
EV -1.39%
Vantaggio -0.811%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.60%57.62%57.69%59.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.651.661.7164.10%60.56%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.33%2.36quota equa
EV -0.944%
Vantaggio -0.403%
Kelly -0.705%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.76%42.38%42.31%43.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.222.202.3447.62%44.97%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Fabian Marozsan (Casa): 57.67%; Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta): 42.33%. Per Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.36. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.34, con un valore atteso del -0.944%; non produce valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.33%E -1.92%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 07:56 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 08:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.48%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.18%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 07:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 06:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 06:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |