Lingua:Italiano
Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fabian Marozsan (Casa)
Previsione 57.02%1.75quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -4.37%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.28%57.13%56.98%58.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.661.671.7062.50%60.09%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.98%2.33quota equa
EV -0.293%
Vantaggio -0.126%
Kelly -0.222%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.69%42.87%43.02%43.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.212.202.3246.51%45.29%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fabian Marozsan (Casa): 57.02%; Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta): 42.98%. Per Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.33. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.32, con un valore atteso del -0.293%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.15%E -0.501%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.293%E -0.126%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.293%E -0.126%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.02%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.31%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 21:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.19%E -5.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.19%E -5.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |