Sprache:Deutsch
Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Fabian Marozsan (Heim)
Prognose 57.02%1.75faire Quote
EV -3.06%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -4.37%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.28%57.13%56.98%58.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.661.671.7062.50%60.09%59.88%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Auswärts)
Prognose 42.98%2.33faire Quote
EV -0.293%
Vorteil -0.126%
Kelly -0.222%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.32
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.69%42.87%43.02%43.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.212.202.3246.51%45.29%45.45%43.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Fabian Marozsan (Heim): 57.02%; Matteo Arnaldi (Auswärts): 42.98%. Für Matteo Arnaldi (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.33. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.32, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.293%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.15%E -0.501%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.293%E -0.126%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.293%E -0.126%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.02%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.31%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 21:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.19%E -5.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.19%E -5.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |