Język:Polski
Fabian Marozsan v Matteo Arnaldi
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 57.02%1.75kurs godziwy
EV -3.06%
Przewaga -1.80%
Kelly -4.37%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.28%57.13%56.98%58.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.661.671.7062.50%60.09%59.88%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Matteo Arnaldi (Goście)
Prognoza 42.98%2.33kurs godziwy
EV -0.293%
Przewaga -0.126%
Kelly -0.222%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.32
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.69%42.87%43.02%43.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.212.202.3246.51%45.29%45.45%43.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze): 57.02%; Matteo Arnaldi (Goście): 42.98%. Dla wyniku Matteo Arnaldi (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.33. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.32, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.293%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.88%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.15%E -0.501%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.293%E -0.126%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.293%E -0.126%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.02%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.31%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 21:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.01%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.19%E -5.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.19%E -5.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |