Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp

2026-08-05 22:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prediction 74.69%1.34fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -4.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.61%74.66%74.90%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.281.3281.97%78.71%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV +6.31%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.124%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%25.34%25.10%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.654.2028.57%27.16%27.40%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 74.69%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 25.31%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +6.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.31%E +1.50%K +1.97%G +0.124%4.5%2026-08-05 07:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV +5.04%E +1.21%K +1.60%G +0.081%5.4%2026-08-05 06:55
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +3.77%E +0.921%K +1.22%G +0.046%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.24%E +0.311%K +0.414%G +0.005%5.0%2026-08-05 07:14
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.29%E -0.330%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 07:20
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.29%E -0.330%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 07:10
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.29%E -0.330%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:14
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.55%E -0.663%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:14
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.82%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 07:05
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.82%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 07:05
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.82%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 07:20
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 07:20
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:14
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 07:10
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 07:05
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.34%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 07:10
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:14
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:15
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:20
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:15
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:05
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 07:20
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 06:15
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:07
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 07:20
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.90%E -2.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:04
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.90%E -2.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:20
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.90%E -2.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:04
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.90%E -2.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:04
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 07:14
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 07:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-05 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-05 07:15
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-08-05 07:15
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-08-05 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.90%14.6%2026-08-05 07:20
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 73.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%16.2%2026-08-05 07:20
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.43%FanDuel 1.32 (76.1%) / 1xBet 4.20 (23.9%)Show all 2 combinations
Daniil Medvedev (Local)Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)Margin
FanDuel 1.32 (76.1%)1xBet 4.20 (23.9%)+0.435%
FanDuel 1.32 (75.9%)Marathon Bet 4.15 (24.1%)+0.146%