Language:English
Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prediction 74.14%1.35fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%74.14%74.26%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.281.3280.65%78.36%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +0.723%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.86%25.74%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.693.723.9529.85%27.07%26.88%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 74.14%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 25.86%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.13%E +0.540%K +0.723%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.06%E -6.50%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 13:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.13%E -1.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |