Idioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 74.14%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -6.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.03%74.14%74.26%75.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.281.3280.65%78.36%78.13%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)
Predicción 25.86%3.87momio equitativo
EV +2.13%
Ventaja +0.540%
Kelly +0.723%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.42%25.86%25.74%27.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.693.723.9529.85%27.07%26.88%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 74.14%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 25.86%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.87. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.13%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.13%E +0.540%K +0.723%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.06%E -6.50%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 13:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.13%E -1.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |