Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp

Początek: 2026-08-05 23:10 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Daniil Medvedev 0–2 Botic van de Zandschulp

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 74.14%1.35kurs godziwy
EV -2.13%
Przewaga -1.61%
Kelly -6.66%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.32

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.03%74.14%74.26%75.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.241.281.281.3280.65%78.36%78.13%75.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Goście)

Prognoza 25.86%3.87kurs godziwy
EV +2.13%
Przewaga +0.540%
Kelly +0.723%
Wzrost +0.015%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.42%25.86%25.74%27.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.693.723.9529.85%27.07%26.88%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze): 74.14%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Goście): 25.86%. Dla wyniku Botic van de Zandschulp (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.87. 16 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.95, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.13%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.13%E +0.540%K +0.723%G +0.015%3.4%2026-08-05 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-05 15:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 13:35
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:58
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:23
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:31
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.06%E -6.50%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 22:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:19
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 13:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 13:35
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:00
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 20:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.13%E -1.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:05
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-05 22:50
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-08-05 23:00