Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp

2026-08-05 22:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

75%

25%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daniil Medvedev (Casa)

Previsione 75.10%1.33quota equa

EV -3.12%

Vantaggio -2.42%

Kelly -10.76%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

73.53%75.37%75.00%77.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.221.261.261.2981.97%79.15%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.90%4.02quota equa

EV +8.56%

Vantaggio +1.96%

Kelly +2.55%

Crescita +0.218%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

22.04%24.63%25.00%26.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

3.503.763.654.3628.57%26.60%27.40%22.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Daniil Medvedev (Casa): 75.10%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta): 24.90%. Per Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.02. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.36, con un valore atteso positivo del +8.56%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Pinnacle	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -6.88%E -5.55%K -28.65%G +0.000%	4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV +8.56%E +1.96%K +2.55%G +0.218%	3.6%	2026-08-05 07:55
Betclic (FR)	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +8.32%E +1.91%K +2.48%G +0.206%	4.3%	2026-08-05 07:50
DraftKings	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +4.58%E +1.09%K +1.43%G +0.066%	5.1%	2026-08-05 07:40
Coolbet	1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.674%G +0.014%	3.1%	2026-08-05 07:55
SportsBet	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.400%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-05 07:40
Mr Green (SE)	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.400%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-05 07:45
Bovada	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.400%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-05 07:56
FanDuel	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-05 07:40
NetBet (FR)	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-05 08:04
Dabble (AU)	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 08:04
Betr (AU)	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-05 07:55
PlayUp	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-05 08:04
Fanatics	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-05 07:39
Winamax (DE)	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:40
PointsBet (AU)	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-05 07:05
Tipico (DE)	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-05 07:20
1xBet	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -5.63%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-05 07:45
BoyleSports	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-05 07:39
betfred_uk	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-05 07:10
Betway	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-05 07:40
Paddy Power	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-05 07:35
Sky Bet	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-05 07:35
GTbets	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-05 07:10
Marathon Bet	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%	3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:40
Casumo	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
TABtouch	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (SE)	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (NL)	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Virgin Bet	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Grosvenor	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
BetRivers	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:14
Bally Bet	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Svenska Spel	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
ATG (SE)	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
betPARX	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-05 07:15
Winamax (FR)	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-05 07:40
888sport	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 08:05
888sport (SE)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 08:05
Hard Rock Bet	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 08:00
theScore Bet	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet (FR)	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-05 07:40
betano_uk	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-05 07:40
Bet Victor	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-05 07:39
ReBet	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-05 07:39
LeoVegas	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.88%E -5.55%K -28.65%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-05 08:05
PMU (FR)	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-05 07:14

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Matchbook	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%	4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%	0.8%	2026-08-05 07:55
Novig	1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%	1.1%	2026-08-05 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.3%	2026-08-05 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.3%	2026-08-05 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.3%	2026-08-05 07:55
Smarkets	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%	5.1%	2026-08-05 08:00