Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp

2026-08-05 22:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 75.10%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -2.42%
Kelly -10.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.53%75.37%75.00%77.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.261.2981.97%79.15%79.37%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.90%4.02cote équitable
EV +8.56%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +2.55%
Croissance +0.218%

avec la cote maximale 4.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.04%24.63%25.00%26.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.654.3628.57%26.60%27.40%22.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 75.10% ; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur) : 24.90%. Pour Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.02. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.36, pour une espérance positive de +8.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -6.88%E -5.55%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV +8.56%E +1.96%K +2.55%G +0.218%3.6%2026-08-05 07:55
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +8.32%E +1.91%K +2.48%G +0.206%4.3%2026-08-05 07:50
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +4.58%E +1.09%K +1.43%G +0.066%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.674%G +0.014%3.1%2026-08-05 07:55
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.400%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.400%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:45
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.400%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:56
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 07:40
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 08:04
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 08:04
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:55
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 08:04
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:40
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 07:05
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 07:20
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -5.63%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 07:45
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 07:39
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 07:10
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 07:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 07:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 07:35
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 07:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:40
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:14
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.87%E -3.03%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:15
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 07:40
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 08:05
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 08:05
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 08:00
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:40
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:39
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.13%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:39
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.88%E -5.55%K -28.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 08:05
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.37%E -4.27%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 07:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-05 07:55
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-08-05 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-05 07:55
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%5.1%2026-08-05 08:00