Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 23:10 UTC

Score final : Daniil Medvedev 0–2 Botic van de Zandschulp

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 74.14%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -6.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.03%74.14%74.26%75.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.281.3280.65%78.36%78.13%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.86%3.87cote équitable
EV +2.13%
Avantage +0.540%
Kelly +0.723%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.42%25.86%25.74%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.693.723.9529.85%27.07%26.88%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 74.14% ; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur) : 25.86%. Pour Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +2.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.13%E +0.540%K +0.723%G +0.015%3.4%2026-08-05 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-05 15:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 13:35
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:58
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:23
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:31
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.06%E -6.50%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 22:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:19
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 13:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 13:35
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:00
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 20:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.13%E -1.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:05
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-05 22:50
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-08-05 23:00