Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniil Medvedev v Botic van de Zandschulp

Início: 2026-08-05 23:10 UTC

Final: Daniil Medvedev 0–2 Botic van de Zandschulp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Previsão 74.14%1.35odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -6.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.03%74.14%74.26%75.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.281.281.3280.65%78.36%78.13%75.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Previsão 25.86%3.87odd justa
EV +2.13%
Vantagem +0.540%
Kelly +0.723%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.42%25.86%25.74%27.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.693.723.9529.85%27.07%26.88%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 74.14%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 25.86%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.87. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.95, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.13%E +0.540%K +0.723%G +0.015%3.4%2026-08-05 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-05 15:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.289%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.454%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 13:35
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:58
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:23
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:31
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.06%E -6.50%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.04%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.30%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 22:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 15:19
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 13:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.86%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 13:35
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:00
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 20:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.10%E -3.98%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.84%E -4.60%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.13%E -1.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:05
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.38%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-05 22:50
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-08-05 23:00