Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 73.90%1.35fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.92%73.89%75.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.79%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visit)
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%26.08%26.11%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.65%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 73.90%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 26.10%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +3.09%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.459%K +0.617%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.483%E +0.126%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:39 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.69%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 07:30 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.09%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.87%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |