StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 22:39 UTC

Slutresultat: Brandon Nakashima 2–0 Daniel Altmaier

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima (Hemma)

Prognos 73.90%1.35rättvist odds
EV -1.71%
Fördel -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.59%73.92%73.89%75.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.79%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Borta)

Prognos 26.10%3.83rättvist odds
EV +4.40%
Fördel +1.10%
Kelly +1.47%
Tillväxt +0.064%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.10%26.08%26.11%28.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.65%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Brandon Nakashima (Hemma): 73.90%; Daniel Altmaier (Borta): 26.10%. För Daniel Altmaier (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.83. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.40%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064%3.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +3.09%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032%4.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.459%K +0.617%G +0.011%3.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.483%E +0.126%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-04 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:18
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:30
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:24
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:39
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:24
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:25
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.69%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 07:30
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:25
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:25
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:14
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:25
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:25
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:25
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.09%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 10:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:25
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:04
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.87%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:25
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:50
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:54
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%0.7%2026-08-04 22:25
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-04 22:05
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-04 22:25