StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 22:39 UTC

Endstand: Brandon Nakashima 2–0 Daniel Altmaier

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima (Heim)

Prognose 73.90%1.35faire Quote
EV -1.71%
Vorteil -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.59%73.92%73.89%75.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.79%77.52%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.10%3.83faire Quote
EV +4.40%
Vorteil +1.10%
Kelly +1.47%
Wachstum +0.064%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.10%26.08%26.11%28.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.65%27.78%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Brandon Nakashima (Heim): 73.90%; Daniel Altmaier (Auswärts): 26.10%. Für Daniel Altmaier (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.83. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.40%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064%3.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +3.09%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032%4.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.459%K +0.617%G +0.011%3.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.483%E +0.126%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-04 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:18
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:30
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:24
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:39
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:24
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:25
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.69%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 07:30
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:25
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:25
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:14
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:25
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:25
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:25
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.09%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 10:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:25
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:04
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.87%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:25
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:50
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:54
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%0.7%2026-08-04 22:25
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-04 22:05
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-04 22:25