Idioma:Español
Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Predicción 73.90%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.92%73.89%75.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.79%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.10%26.08%26.11%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.65%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 73.90%; Daniel Altmaier (Visitante): 26.10%. Para Daniel Altmaier (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.83. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +3.09%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.459%K +0.617%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.483%E +0.126%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:39 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.69%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 07:30 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.09%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.87%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |