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Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Brandon Nakashima (Хозяева)
Прогноз 73.90%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.71%
Преимущество -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.59%73.92%73.89%75.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.79%77.52%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Daniel Altmaier (Гости)
Прогноз 26.10%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.40%
Преимущество +1.10%
Kelly +1.47%
Рост +0.064%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.10%26.08%26.11%28.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.65%27.78%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Brandon Nakashima (Хозяева): 73.90%; Daniel Altmaier (Гости): 26.10%. Для исхода «Daniel Altmaier (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.83. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.40%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +3.09%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.459%K +0.617%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.483%E +0.126%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:39 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.69%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 07:30 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.09%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.87%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |