Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier

Inizio: 2026-08-04 22:39 UTC

Finale: Brandon Nakashima 2–0 Daniel Altmaier

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Brandon Nakashima (Casa)

Previsione 73.90%1.35quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.59%73.92%73.89%75.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.79%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.10%3.83quota equa
EV +4.40%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescita +0.064%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.10%26.08%26.11%28.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.65%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Brandon Nakashima (Casa): 73.90%; Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta): 26.10%. Per Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.83. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064%3.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +3.09%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032%4.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.459%K +0.617%G +0.011%3.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.483%E +0.126%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-04 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:18
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:30
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.87%E -0.496%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:24
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:39
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:24
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.13%E -0.567%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:25
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.69%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 07:30
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:25
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:25
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.74%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:14
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:25
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:45
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.46%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:25
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:25
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.09%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 10:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:25
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.35%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:04
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.87%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:25
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.22%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:50
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:54
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%0.7%2026-08-04 22:25
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-04 22:05
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-04 22:25