Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prediction 34.46%2.90fair odd
EV -0.397%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.45%34.37%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.732.702.8938.17%36.58%37.04%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Visit)

Prediction 65.54%1.53fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%65.55%65.63%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.461.471.5069.44%68.41%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 34.46%; Nuno Borges (Visit): 65.54%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.89, with an expected value of -0.397%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV -0.397%E -0.137%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 20:35
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.43%E -0.500%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:55
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.43%E -0.500%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:54
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.78%E -0.623%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 20:29
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.78%E -0.623%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 17:16
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 17:30
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 21:15
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.70%E -1.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 20:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:18
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:20
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:19
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:19
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:18
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:17
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:20
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.66%E -2.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:20
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.32%E -2.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.67%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 17:30
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.70%E -3.70%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%7.4%2026-08-01 22:15