语言:简体中文
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aleksandar Kovacevic (主队)
预测 33.90%2.95公平赔率
EV +5.08%
优势 +1.64%
Kelly +2.42%
增长率 +0.123%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.49%33.81%33.73%35.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.882.873.1039.22%34.76%34.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nuno Borges (客队)
预测 66.10%1.51公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.49
博彩公司预测分布
64.20%66.19%66.27%69.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.10%71.43%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aleksandar Kovacevic (主队)：33.90%；Nuno Borges (客队)：66.10%。 对于“Aleksandar Kovacevic (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.95。 当时有21家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.10，对应+5.08%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.70%E -0.586%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.49%E -2.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.56%E -5.32%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |