Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges

Início: 2026-08-02 15:07 UTC

Final: Aleksandar Kovacevic 1–2 Nuno Borges

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Previsão 33.90%2.95odd justa
EV +5.08%
Vantagem +1.64%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescimento +0.123%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%33.81%33.73%35.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.882.873.1039.22%34.76%34.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nuno Borges (Visitante)

Previsão 66.10%1.51odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.20%66.19%66.27%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.10%71.43%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 33.90%; Nuno Borges (Visitante): 66.10%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.95. 21 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:03
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 13:25
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 12:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:04
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 12:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 12:14
GTbets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:54
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.70%E -0.586%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:09
BetUS🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 13:24
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 12:53
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 15:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:14
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:05
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 15:04
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:53
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:03
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.49%E -2.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:04
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.56%E -5.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-08-02 15:05