StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges

Matchstart: 2026-08-02 15:07 UTC

Slutresultat: Aleksandar Kovacevic 1–2 Nuno Borges

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Hemma)

Prognos 33.90%2.95rättvist odds
EV +5.08%
Fördel +1.64%
Kelly +2.42%
Tillväxt +0.123%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.49%33.81%33.73%35.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.882.873.1039.22%34.76%34.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Borta)

Prognos 66.10%1.51rättvist odds
EV -1.51%
Fördel -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.20%66.19%66.27%69.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.10%71.43%67.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Hemma): 33.90%; Nuno Borges (Borta): 66.10%. För Aleksandar Kovacevic (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.95. 21 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.08%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:03
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 13:25
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 12:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:04
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 12:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 12:14
GTbets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:54
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.70%E -0.586%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:09
BetUS🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 13:24
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 12:53
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 15:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:14
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:05
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 15:04
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:53
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:03
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 15:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.49%E -2.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:04
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.56%E -5.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 15:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-08-02 15:05