Język:Polski
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 33.90%2.95kurs godziwy
EV +5.08%
Przewaga +1.64%
Kelly +2.42%
Wzrost +0.123%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.49%33.81%33.73%35.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.882.873.1039.22%34.76%34.90%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Nuno Borges (Goście)
Prognoza 66.10%1.51kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.20%66.19%66.27%69.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.10%71.43%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Gospodarze): 33.90%; Nuno Borges (Goście): 66.10%. Dla wyniku Aleksandar Kovacevic (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.95. 21 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.10, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.08%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.70%E -0.586%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.49%E -2.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.56%E -5.32%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |