Idioma:Español
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Predicción 33.90%2.95momio equitativo
EV +5.08%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +2.42%
Crecimiento +0.123%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%33.81%33.73%35.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.882.873.1039.22%34.76%34.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 66.10%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.20%66.19%66.27%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.10%71.43%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 33.90%; Nuno Borges (Visitante): 66.10%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.95. 21 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.08%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.08%E +1.64%K +2.42%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.69%E +0.563%K +0.845%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.682%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.70%E -0.586%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.38%E -0.825%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.10%E -7.43%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.77%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.83%E -1.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.49%E -2.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.47%E -3.83%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.87%E -4.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.56%E -5.32%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |