預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez

開賽時間: 2026-04-14 13:40 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Tomas Machac (主隊)

預測 58.39%1.71公平賠率
EV -1.90%
優勢 -1.13%
Kelly -2.79%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.68

博彩公司預測分布
56.85%58.33%58.43%59.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.63%61.73%59.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sebastian Baez (客隊)

預測 41.61%2.40公平賠率
EV -2.22%
優勢 -0.946%
Kelly -1.65%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.35

博彩公司預測分布
40.26%41.67%41.57%43.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.06%43.86%42.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Tomas Machac (主隊):58.39%;Sebastian Baez (客隊):41.61%。 對於「Tomas Machac (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.71的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.68,期望值為-1.90%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 13:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:24
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.07%E -1.85%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 13:22
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:24
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 13:25
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:22
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-04-14 13:25