La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Tomas Machac (Casa)
Previsione 58.39%1.71quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.33%58.43%59.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.63%61.73%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.61%2.40quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -0.946%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.26%41.67%41.57%43.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.06%43.86%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.07%E -1.85%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 13:22 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:22 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |