مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Tomas Machac (المضيف)
التنبؤ 58.39%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -2.79%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.33%58.43%59.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.63%61.73%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Sebastian Baez (الضيف)
التنبؤ 41.61%2.40السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.946%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.26%41.67%41.57%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.06%43.86%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.07%E -1.85%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 13:22 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:22 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |