Idioma:Português
Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Tomas Machac (Local)
Previsão 58.39%1.71odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.33%58.43%59.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.63%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Previsão 41.61%2.40odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.946%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%41.67%41.57%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.06%43.86%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tomas Machac (Local): 58.39%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 41.61%. Para Tomas Machac (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.71. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.68, com valor esperado de -1.90%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.07%E -1.85%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 13:22 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:22 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |