Die Wettquotenschule

Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 13:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Tomas Machac (Heim)

Prognose 58.39%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -1.13%
Kelly -2.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.33%58.43%59.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.63%61.73%59.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.61%2.40faire Quote
EV -2.22%
Vorteil -0.946%
Kelly -1.65%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.26%41.67%41.57%43.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.06%43.86%42.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 13:25
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 13:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:24
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.07%E -1.85%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 13:22
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:24
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:24
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:25
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 13:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:22
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 13:25
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 13:25
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:25
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-04-14 13:25