Школа коэффициентов

Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez

Начало: 2026-04-14 13:40 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tomas Machac (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.39%1.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.90%
Преимущество -1.13%
Kelly -2.79%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.85%58.33%58.43%59.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.63%61.73%59.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sebastian Baez (Гости)

Прогноз 41.61%2.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.22%
Преимущество -0.946%
Kelly -1.65%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.26%41.67%41.57%43.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.06%43.86%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 13:25
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 13:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:24
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.07%E -1.85%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 13:22
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.24%E -2.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 13:24
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.22%E -0.946%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:24
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:25
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 13:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:22
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 13:25
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 13:25
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:25
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-14 13:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-04-14 13:25