Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.72%40.84%44.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.302.302.5249.50%43.41%43.48%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 59.15%1.69fair odd
EV -0.045%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.34%59.28%59.16%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.46%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rafael Jodar (Local): 40.85%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 59.15%. For Rafael Jodar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +2.95%E +1.17%K +1.94%G +0.057% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.28%E -7.52%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.32%E +0.532%K +0.892%G +0.012% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 03:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 03:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 03:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.045%E -0.026%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -17.47%E -8.65%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |