Die Wettquotenschule

Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 40.85%2.45faire Quote
EV +2.95%
Vorteil +1.17%
Kelly +1.94%
Wachstum +0.057%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%40.72%40.84%44.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.022.302.302.5249.50%43.41%43.48%39.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.15%1.69faire Quote
EV -0.045%
Vorteil -0.026%
Kelly -0.065%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.34%59.28%59.16%62.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.46%62.11%59.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +2.95%E +1.17%K +1.94%G +0.057%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 13:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.28%E -7.52%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:55
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.32%E +0.532%K +0.892%G +0.012%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 10:30
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:58
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:55
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:55
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 08:01
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:55
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:30
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 03:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:01
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:30
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:01
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 03:11
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 03:09
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:55
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.045%E -0.026%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:50
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -17.47%E -8.65%K -17.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-04-18 13:55